Western Norway
Adaptive Nonlinear Data Assimilation through P-Spline Triangular Measure Transport
Lunde, Berent Å. S., Ramgraber, Maximilian
Non-Gaussian statistics are a challenge for data assimilation. Linear methods oversimplify the problem, yet fully nonlinear methods are often too expensive to use in practice. The best solution usually lies between these extremes. Triangular measure transport offers a flexible framework for nonlinear data assimilation. Its success, however, depends on how the map is parametrized. Too much flexibility leads to overfitting; too little misses important structure. To address this balance, we develop an adaptation algorithm that selects a parsimonious parametrization automatically. Our method uses P-spline basis functions and an information criterion as a continuous measure of model complexity. This formulation enables gradient descent and allows efficient, fine-scale adaptation in high-dimensional settings. The resulting algorithm requires no hyperparameter tuning. It adjusts the transport map to the appropriate level of complexity based on the system statistics and ensemble size. We demonstrate its performance in nonlinear, non-Gaussian problems, including a high-dimensional distributed groundwater model.
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- Europe > Netherlands > South Holland > Delft (0.04)
- Europe > Switzerland > Zürich > Zürich (0.04)
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- Europe > Norway > Western Norway > Vestland > Bergen (0.04)
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- Transportation > Ground > Rail (0.45)
- North America > United States > California > San Francisco County > San Francisco (0.14)
- Asia > Japan > Honshū > Kantō > Tokyo Metropolis Prefecture > Tokyo (0.14)
- North America > United States > California > Alameda County > Berkeley (0.04)
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- Europe > Norway > Western Norway > Vestland > Bergen (0.04)
- Information Technology > Data Science (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Representation & Reasoning > Uncertainty > Bayesian Inference (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Learning Graphical Models > Directed Networks > Bayesian Learning (0.75)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Statistical Learning (0.73)
NumPert: Numerical Perturbations to Probe Language Models for Veracity Prediction
Aarnes, Peter Røysland, Setty, Vinay
Large language models show strong performance on knowledge intensive tasks such as fact-checking and question answering, yet they often struggle with numerical reasoning. We present a systematic evaluation of state-of-the-art models for veracity prediction on numerical claims and evidence pairs using controlled perturbations, including label-flipping probes, to test robustness. Our results indicate that even leading proprietary systems experience accuracy drops of up to 62\% under certain perturbations. No model proves to be robust across all conditions. We further find that increasing context length generally reduces accuracy, but when extended context is enriched with perturbed demonstrations, most models substantially recover. These findings highlight critical limitations in numerical fact-checking and suggest that robustness remains an open challenge for current language models.
- North America > Canada (0.04)
- Asia > Japan (0.04)
- North America > United States > Nebraska (0.04)
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Designing value-aligned autonomous vehicles: from moral dilemmas to conflict-sensitive design
Imagine an autonomous car driving along a quiet suburban road when suddenly a dog runs onto the road. The system must brake hard and decide, within a fraction of a second, whether to swerve into oncoming traffic--where the other autonomous car might make space--to steer right and hit the roadside barrier, or to continue straight and injure the dog. The first two options risk only material damage; the last harms a living creature. Each choice is justifiable and involves trade-offs between safety, property and ethical concerns. However, today's autonomous systems are not designed to explicitly take such value-laden conflicts into account.
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- Europe > United Kingdom (0.05)
- Europe > Norway > Western Norway > Vestland > Bergen (0.05)
- Europe > Germany > Baden-Württemberg > Karlsruhe Region > Karlsruhe (0.05)
- Transportation > Ground > Road (1.00)
- Transportation > Passenger (0.90)
Readability Measures and Automatic Text Simplification: In the Search of a Construct
Cardon, Rémi, Doğruöz, A. Seza
Readability is a key concept in the current era of abundant written information. To help making texts more readable and make information more accessible to everyone, a line of researched aims at making texts accessible for their target audience: automatic text simplification (ATS). Lately, there have been studies on the correlations between automatic evaluation metrics in ATS and human judgment. However, the correlations between those two aspects and commonly available readability measures (such as readability formulas or linguistic features) have not been the focus of as much attention. In this work, we investigate the place of readability measures in ATS by complementing the existing studies on evaluation metrics and human judgment, on English. We first discuss the relationship between ATS and research in readability, then we report a study on correlations between readability measures and human judgment, and between readability measures and ATS evaluation metrics. We identify that in general, readability measures do not correlate well with automatic metrics and human judgment. We argue that as the three different angles from which simplification can be assessed tend to exhibit rather low correlations with one another, there is a need for a clear definition of the construct in ATS.
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- North America > United States > California > Los Angeles County > Los Angeles (0.14)
- North America > United States > Florida > Miami-Dade County > Miami (0.04)
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Simulating Misinformation Vulnerabilities With Agent Personas
Farr, David, Ng, Lynnette Hui Xian, Prochaska, Stephen, Cruickshank, Iain J., West, Jevin
School of Computer Science, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, P A, USA ABSTRACT Disinformation campaigns can distort public perception and destabilize institutions. Understanding how different populations respond to information is crucial for designing effective interventions, yet real-world experimentation is impractical and ethically challenging. To address this, we develop an agent-based simulation using Large Language Models (LLMs) to model responses to misinformation. We construct agent personas spanning five professions and three mental schemas, and evaluate their reactions to news headlines. Our findings show that LLM-generated agents align closely with ground-truth labels and human predictions, supporting their use as proxies for studying information responses. We also find that mental schemas, more than professional background, influence how agents interpret misinformation. This work provides a validation of LLMs to be used as agents in an agent-based model of an information network for analyzing trust, polarization, and susceptibility to deceptive content in complex social systems. 1 INTRODUCTION Protection against foreign information campaigns and the ability to conduct effective information operations are critical to modern national security. In an era where the information domain can be leveraged as a battlefield, there is a need to maintain information advantage, defined as "the use, protection, and exploitation of information to achieve objectives more effectively than enemies and adversaries do" (U.S. Achieving and sustaining information advantage requires not only the ability to disseminate compelling narratives but also to detect, counter, and mitigate adversarial information operations.
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- Europe > Norway > Western Norway > Vestland > Bergen (0.04)
- South America > Colombia > Meta Department > Villavicencio (0.04)
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- Media > News (1.00)
- Government > Voting & Elections (1.00)
- Government > Regional Government > North America Government > United States Government (1.00)
- Government > Military > Army (0.89)
Communication-Constrained Private Decentralized Online Personalized Mean Estimation
Yakimenka, Yauhen, Lin, Hsuan-Yin, Rosnes, Eirik, Kliewer, Jörg
Abstract--We consider the problem of communication-constrained collaborative personalized mean estimation under a privacy constraint in an environment of several agents continuously receiving data according to arbitrary unknown agent-specific distributions. A consensus-based algorithm is studied under the framework of differential privacy in order to protect each agent's data. We give a theoretical convergence analysis of the proposed consensus-based algorithm for any bounded unknown distributions on the agents' data, showing that collaboration provides faster convergence than a fully local approach where agents do not share data, under an oracle decision rule and under some restrictions on the privacy level and the agents' connectivity, which illustrates the benefit of private collaboration in an online setting under a communication restriction on the agents. The theoretical faster-than-local convergence guarantee is backed up by several numerical results. The interest in collaborative learning has grown considerably recently, fueled by prominent frameworks such as federated learning (FL) [1]-[3], which offers a partially decentralized approach, and fully decentralized methods like swarm learning [4].
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- North America > United States > Louisiana > Orleans Parish > New Orleans (0.04)
- North America > United States > New Jersey > Essex County > Newark (0.04)
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Trustworthy Quantum Machine Learning: A Roadmap for Reliability, Robustness, and Security in the NISQ Era
Catak, Ferhat Ozgur, Seo, Jungwon, Cali, Umit
Quantum machine learning (QML) is a promising paradigm for tackling computational problems that challenge classical AI. Yet, the inherent probabilistic behavior of quantum mechanics, device noise in NISQ hardware, and hybrid quantum-classical execution pipelines introduce new risks that prevent reliable deployment of QML in real-world, safety-critical settings. This research offers a broad roadmap for Trustworthy Quantum Machine Learning (TQML), integrating three foundational pillars of reliability: (i) uncertainty quantification for calibrated and risk-aware decision making, (ii) adversarial robustness against classical and quantum-native threat models, and (iii) privacy preservation in distributed and delegated quantum learning scenarios. We formalize quantum-specific trust metrics grounded in quantum information theory, including a variance-based decomposition of predictive uncertainty, trace-distance-bounded robustness, and differential privacy for hybrid learning channels. To demonstrate feasibility on current NISQ devices, we validate a unified trust assessment pipeline on parameterized quantum classifiers, uncovering correlations between uncertainty and prediction risk, an asymmetry in attack vulnerability between classical and quantum state perturbations, and privacy-utility trade-offs driven by shot noise and quantum channel noise. This roadmap seeks to define trustworthiness as a first-class design objective for quantum AI.
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- Europe > United Kingdom > England > Cambridgeshire > Cambridge (0.04)
- Research Report > New Finding (1.00)
- Research Report > Experimental Study (0.68)